The Pro Matchup Center compares teams on real measured 2025 efficiency (nflverse EPA/play, success rate, yards per play, sack rate) plus Clay 2026 unit grades. Ranks are 1-32 across the league (#1 = best). Where verified data is missing, the app shows "—" rather than inventing a number.
Advantage Delta & Star RatingsFormula: |Def Rank - Off Rank|
Stars are awarded to the unit with the substantial statistical upper hand. If an offense ranks #2 against a pass defense ranked #26, the offense holds a 5-Star mismatch.
★★★★★(Delta ≥ 20)
★★★★(Delta 15–19)
★★★(Delta 10–14)
★★(Delta 5–9)
★(Delta 1–4)
No Adv(Delta = 0)
Passing, Rushing & Trench Splits
Compares real measured 2025 efficiency from the nflverse dataset: EPA per play, EPA per attempt (pass and run), success rate, yards per play, turnover rate and sack rate, for offense and defense separately.
Sources & Method
Efficiency ranks: nflverse/nflfastR team-season play-by-play (2012-2025), 2025 season shown. Unit grades and standings: Mike Clay 2026 projections. Rosters: Supabase snapshot. Nothing on this tab is a fabricated number; missing verified data renders as "—".
ESC
Week 1 Matchups2026 Regular Season · Click a matchup for analysis
Scan the full 2026 slate week by week. Team win probability is this dashboard's model (composite power ratings, log5, home-field edge); spread, total, and moneyline are live market lines (source: nflverse), refreshed each time you open this tab. Select a matchup for a deeper view.